Hello to everyone interested in the NS Rail study!
Over the past month we substantially completed the capital and operating cost estimates and are making progress on ridership forecasts. The study team member AECOMM has offered some estimates using the simplified national model known as STOPS. We are collaborating with the Southeast Michigan Council of Governments (SEMCOG) to review the STOPS forecasts, including the possibility of running SEMCOG’s ridership model. Unlike STOPS, SEMCOG’s model is calibrated to regional conditions. The study team believes that the AECOM work, combined with the SEMCOG work, will constitute a comprehensive investigation into ridership forecasts. Running both models makes the best use of available tools at both the national and regional levels. Because the demand forecasting work is more thorough than originally planned, it is expected that the work will not be complete until late spring or early summer. Lastly, we have posted a new question for your consideration. Please share your thoughts!